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TAP TIMES      -38-                                    OCTOBER 2022



              TSMC jumps to first place                         The few memory companies that have
           in 3Q22 with memory decline                          made statements about the recent de-
                                                                velopments in the memory market have
                                                                attributed the swift downturn to a massive
        SCOTTSDALE, Arizona — In its August
        Quarterly Update to The McClean Re-                     inventory adjustment currently underway
        port, IC Insights reduced its world-                    by their customers.
        wide IC market growth forecast for
        2022 from 11% to 7%.                                    Inventory adjustment
                                                                Moreover, most expect this inventory ad-
                                                                justment period to extend into at least
        Memory market
        The downgraded expectation for this year                early 2023.
        is almost entirely due to the collapse of
        the memory market in the second half of                 The following statements and data from a
        2022.                                                   few of the memory suppliers yield some
                                                                insight into how fast the market has
                                                                changed over the past couple of months.
        As discussed below, it was as though
        someone “flipped a switch” to the off posi-
        tion for the memory market beginning in                 • When Micron’s fiscal 3Q ended in May,
        June!                                                   the company gave an early warning of the
                                                                trouble that was brewing in the memory
                                                                market.
        The few memory companies that have
        made statements about the recent de-
        velopments in the memory market have                    Although the company’s fiscal 3Q sales
        attributed the swift downturn to a massive              were solid, it presented 4Q (ending in Au-
        inventory adjustment currently underway                 gust) sales guidance of -17%.  Moreover,
        by their customers.                                     Micron revised this figure to at least a
                                                                21% drop in sales for its fiscal quarter that
                                                                ended in August.
        Moreover, most expect this inventory ad-
        justment period to extend into at least
        early 2023.                                                                    WD sales decline
                                                                                      • In its 2Q conference
        The following statements and data                                             call, major NAND flash
        from a few of the memory suppliers                                            memory supplier West-
        yield some insight into how fast the                                          ern Digital commented
        market has changed over the past                                              that the inventory ad-
        couple of months.                                                             justment currently un-
                                                                                      derway is “definitely
                                                                                      very, very sharp in
                                                                                      the quarter we are in
                                                                                      (3Q22).”


                                                                                      Western Digital’s outlook
                                                                                      is for a company-wide
                                                                                      sales decline of 18%
                                                                                      this quarter.  With hard
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