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TAP TIMES      -16-                                     DECEMBER 2022


             Intel delay of new products
           is a boon to AMD: TrendForce



        TAIPEI, Taiwan — According to the
        latest TrendForce research, the mass
        production schedule of new Sapphire
        Rapids (Xeon CPU) products has been
        delayed due to the poor yield rate of
        the Intel 7 process.
                                                                environment, Intel is also facing continual
        Sapphire Rapids                                         shortages of low-end FPGAs, which affects
        At present, the production yield rate of                its dual-socket CPU orders, as well as fac-
        Sapphire Rapids is estimated at only                    ing pressure such as weakening demand in
        50~60%, which affects mainstream Sap-                   terms of government tenders and inven-
        phire Rapids MCC products.                              tory control policies at OEMs.


        The company’s mass production planning                  Chips under pressure
        has been deferred from 4Q22 to 1H23.                    The high-end computing chip market has
        This delay in the mass production schedule              borne the brunt of the recent ban imposed
        not only affects the ODM material prepa-                by the U.S. Department of Commerce and
        ration cycle, but also greatly reduces the              shipments of customized chips from Intel
        proportion of OEMs and CSPs introducing                 and AMD are indeed under pressure.
        Sapphire Rapids this year.
                                                                If the conflict between China and the Unit-
        AMD will be the biggest beneficiary. We es-             ed States intensifies in the future, Intel’s
        timate the market share of AMD x86 serv-                dominance in the server CPU market may
        er CPU to be approximately 15% in 2022                  be a double-edged sword, implying a more
        and rise to 22% in 2023.                                serious impact than AMD.


        Energy consumption                                      Advantage AMD?
        AMD has been seeing greatly improved                    Intel’s new product mass production
        capacity of ABF since 2H21. At the same                 schedule has been delayed. It can be seen
        time, more and more end customers have                  from ODM orders that major CSPs have
        escalated requirements for energy con-                  increased their reliance on AMD.
        sumption reduction.

                                                                Since the overall server cost of AMD Milan
        Considering the total cost of the server                is lower than that of Intel Ice Lake, AMD
        (TCO), they have begun to favor single-                 Milan features better RDIMM scalability
        socket servers.                                         and number of SSD channels.

        TrendForce believes that the change in                  Unlike Intel’s standard dual-socket design,
        customer demand will enable AMD to                      AMD can achieve the performance required
        break through the bottleneck created by a               by customers as well as effectively helping
        2-socket solution, boosting the company’s               customers save more capital expenditure.
        overall shipments.

                                                                 In the short term, the market share of In-
        In addition to weak demand in the general                                                      next page
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