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TAP TIMES       -23-                              SEPTEMBER 2022



                June swoon: First-ever                          Second, June is normally one of the stron-
                  sequential sales drop                         gest months of the year for IC sales since

                                                                OEMs are buying chips to build into their
        SCOTTSDALE, Arizona — The IC mar-                       new systems in time for back-to-school
        ket recorded its first-ever June se-                    and end-of-year holiday sales.
        quential sales decline this year, based
        on data from the SIA, WEMA and                          Memory sales fell
        WSTS dating back to 1976.                               The biggest contributor to June’s total IC
                                                                market decline was the sudden and dra-
        Breaking a trend                                        matic drop in memory IC sales.
        Typically, high single-digit or double-digit
        sales gains have been the pattern for June              A dramatic revenue downturn is not read-
        IC sales. Even in its previously weakest                ily evident in the 2Q22 financial results
        year (1985), June IC sales increased 1%.                from Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron
        Never, until this year, have June IC sales              since June’s decline offset gains made in
        declined.                                               April and May.


        This extraordinary result was startling for             However, Micron is forecasting a -17%
        at least two reasons:                                   sales drop for its fiscal 4Q (ending in Au-
                                                                gust).
        First, June is a quarter-ending five week
        month and that alone has historically been              Samsung and SK Hynix do not provide
        enough to generate a sales uptick com-                  next-quarter sales guidance, but it is rea-
        pared to the four-week month of May.                    sonable to presume that their 3Q outlooks
                                                                                                are somewhat
                                                                                                similar to what
                                                                                                Micron has fore-
                                                                                                cast.


                                                                                                Not typical
                                                                                                The second and
                                                                                                third quarters
                                                                                                of the calendar
                                                                                                year are typical-
                                                                                                ly the strongest
                                                                                                two quarters for
                                                                                                IC sales.


                                                                                                Since 1984, 2Q
                                                                                                sales results
                                                                                                have grown by
                                                                                                an average of
                                                                                                4.2% and 3Q
                                                                                                sales have in-
                                                                                                creased an av-
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